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economic fluctuations and growth (7) 7
economics (7) 7
business cycles (5) 5
ambiguity (4) 4
business fluctuations, cycles (4) 4
monetary economics (4) 4
northern america (4) 4
studies (4) 4
u.s (4) 4
criteria for decision-making under risk and uncertainty (3) 3
economic models (3) 3
information (3) 3
macroeconomics (3) 3
risk (3) 3
uncertainty (3) 3
analysis (2) 2
asset pricing (2) 2
business cycle (2) 2
cycle (2) 2
economic theory (2) 2
expectations, speculations (2) 2
international financial markets (2) 2
investment (2) 2
monetary-policy (2) 2
productivity (2) 2
shocks (2) 2
volatility (2) 2
abzahlung (1) 1
animal spirits (1) 1
asset pricing, trading volume, bond interest rates (1) 1
bank (1) 1
bank lending (1) 1
bank loans (1) 1
banking and finance (1) 1
banks (1) 1
banks, depository institutions, micro finance institutions, mortgages (1) 1
bayesian methods (1) 1
beliefs (1) 1
bonds (1) 1
borrowing (1) 1
business, finance (1) 1
c11 - bayesian analysis: general (1) 1
c73 (1) 1
capital (1) 1
capital structure (1) 1
comparative or joint analysis of fiscal and monetary policy, stabilization, treasury policy (1) 1
contracts (1) 1
corporate finance (1) 1
countercyclical (1) 1
credit (1) 1
d8 - information, knowledge, and uncertainty (1) 1
d86 (1) 1
debt (1) 1
default (1) 1
default risk (1) 1
developing countries (1) 1
developing countries--ldcs (1) 1
developing-countries (1) 1
disinflation (1) 1
dispersion (1) 1
e3 - prices, business fluctuations, and cycles (1) 1
e31 - price level inflation deflation (1) 1
e32 - business fluctuations; cycles (1) 1
e4 - money and interest rates (1) 1
e58 - central banks and their policies (1) 1
economic development: financial markets, saving and capital investment, corporate finance and governance (1) 1
economic fluctuations (1) 1
economic history: macroeconomics and monetary economics, industrial structure, growth, fluctuations: u.s., canada: 1913- (1) 1
economic issues (1) 1
economic recessions (1) 1
economic statistics (1) 1
economics of contract: theory (1) 1
efficiency (1) 1
emerging economies (1) 1
empirical-analysis (1) 1
employment (1) 1
employment, unemployment, wages, intergenerational income distribution, aggregate human capital, aggregate labor productivity (1) 1
equity finance (1) 1
excess volatility (1) 1
exchange rate (1) 1
exchange rates (1) 1
exchange-rate (1) 1
exploration (1) 1
f34 (1) 1
factor productivity (1) 1
finance (1) 1
financial markets and the macroeconomy (1) 1
financing policy, financial risk and risk management, capital and ownership structure, value of firms, goodwill (1) 1
firm (1) 1
fiscal policy (1) 1
fluctuations (1) 1
forecasting models (1) 1
foreign exchange (1) 1
foreign-exchange (1) 1
g1 - general financial markets (1) 1
g12 (1) 1
g14 (1) 1
g15 (1) 1
g3 - corporate finance and governance (1) 1
gdp (1) 1
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2014, NBER working paper series, Volume no. w20194.
We reinterpret post World War II US economic history using an estimated microfounded model that allows for changes in the monetary/fiscal policy mix. We find... 
E31 - Price Level Inflation Deflation | E58 - Central Banks and Their Policies | C11 - Bayesian Analysis: General
Web Resource
2012, NBER working paper series, Volume no. w17900
This paper considers business cycle models with agents who dislike both risk and ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty). Ambiguity aversion is described by... 
E32 - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Web Resource
The American Economic Review, ISSN 0002-8282, 8/2014, Volume 104, Issue 8, pp. 2368 - 2399
This paper studies a New Keynesian business cycle model with agents who are averse to ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty). Shocks to confidence about future TFP... 
Productivity | Economic models | Labor supply | Economic fluctuations | Supply shocks | Inflation rates | Standard deviation | Economic recessions | Ambiguity | Forecasting models | ANIMAL SPIRITS | KEYNESIAN MODELS | FLUCTUATIONS | INFORMATION | NEWS | EXPLORATION | UNCERTAINTY | MONETARY-POLICY | RISK | ECONOMICS | SHOCKS | Keynesian economics | Research | Business cycles | Analysis | Studies | Economic theory
Journal Article
Review of Economic Dynamics, ISSN 1094-2025, 10/2017, Volume 26, pp. 113 - 139
We estimate a model for the US economy with monetary/fiscal policy mix changes. Monetary policy accommodated fiscal policy through the '60s–'70s leading to... 
Monetary policy | Fiscal policy | Inflation | Bayesian methods | Markov-switching DSGE | United States economic conditions | Analysis
Journal Article
2014, NBER working paper series, Volume no. w20081.
This paper studies a DSGE model with endogenous financial asset supply and ambiguity averse investors. An increase in uncertainty about profits leads firms to... 
D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty | E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles | E4 - Money and Interest Rates | G1 - General Financial Markets | G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance
Web Resource
Journal of Monetary Economics, ISSN 0304-3932, 01/2015, Volume 69, pp. 64 - 69
Journal Article
Journal of Political Economy, ISSN 0022-3808, 10/2018, Volume 126, Issue 5, pp. 2011 - 2071
Concave hiring rules imply that firms respond more to bad shocks than to good shocks. They provide a unified explanation for several seemingly unrelated facts... 
DISPERSION | INVESTMENT | PRODUCTIVITY | BUSINESS CYCLES | UNCERTAINTY | RISK | AMBIGUITY | ECONOMICS | SHOCKS | VOLATILITY | EFFICIENCY | Hiring | Microeconomics | Macroeconomics | News media | Employment | Volatility
Journal Article
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, ISSN 1945-7707, 7/2012, Volume 4, Issue 3, pp. 33 - 65
High interest rate currencies tend to appreciate in the future relative to low interest rate currencies instead of depreciating as uncovered interest parity... 
Economic models | Exchange rates | Trade | Investors | Return on investment | Macroeconomic modeling | Macroeconomics | Price momentum | Ambiguity | Interest rates | EXCHANGE-RATE | RISK PREMIUM | INFORMATION | MARKETS | BELIEFS | MONETARY-POLICY | ECONOMICS | FOREIGN-EXCHANGE | PREMIUM PUZZLE | Studies | Economic theory | Economic statistics
Journal Article
The Review of Economic Studies, ISSN 0034-6527, 04/2018, Volume 85, Issue 2, pp. 810 - 854
Abstract This article estimates a business cycle model with endogenous financial asset supply and ambiguity averse investors. Firms’ shareholders choose not... 
Excess volatility | Uncertainty | Regime switches | Capital structure | Ambiguity | Investment | RECURSIVE MULTIPLE-PRIORS | PRICES | RISK | US MONETARY-POLICY | MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS | PAYOUT POLICY | NOMINAL RIGIDITIES | EQUITY FINANCE | ECONOMICS | Business cycles | Economic models | Investments
Journal Article
Journal of the European Economic Association, ISSN 1542-4766, 04/2016, Volume 14, Issue 2, pp. 375 - 404
This paper presents direct evidence for relational contracts in sovereign bank lending. Unlike the existing empirical literature, its instrumental variables... 
G12 | G15 | D86 | G14 | F34 | C73 | EMPIRICAL-ANALYSIS | CREDIT | QUALITY | PRICE | INFORMATION | DEFAULT RISK | DEBT | EMERGING ECONOMIES | BONDS | ECONOMICS | DEVELOPING-COUNTRIES | Developing countries | Banks (Finance) | Banks | Sovereign debt | Lending | Repayments | Bank loans | Default | Developing countries--LDCs
Journal Article
Journal of Monetary Economics, ISSN 0304-3932, 01/2015, Volume 69, pp. 64 - 69
Journal Article
01/2009, ISBN 9781109149845
Chapter one investigates the well-known uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) puzzle. It proposes as an explanation for this puzzle the idea that the agents'... 
Economics | Studies | Macroeconomics | Finance
Dissertation
08/2014, NBER Working Paper Series
This paper presents direct evidence for relational contracts in sovereign bank lending. Unlike the existing empirical literature, its instrumental variables... 
Economic Fluctuations and Growth | International Finance and Macroeconomics | Asset Pricing
Paper
03/2012, NBER Working Paper Series
This paper considers business cycle models with agents who dislike both risk and ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty). Ambiguity aversion is described by... 
Monetary Economics | Economic Fluctuations and Growth | Studies | Risk aversion | Rational expectations | Business cycles | Volatility
Paper
08/2016, NBER Working Paper Series
Price rigidity is central to many predictions of modern macroeconomic models, yet, standard models are at odds with certain robust empirical facts from micro... 
Monetary Economics | Economic Fluctuations and Growth | Industrial Organization
Paper
06/2014, NBER Working Paper Series
We reinterpret post World War II US economic history using an estimated microfounded model that allows for changes in the monetary/fiscal policy mix. We find... 
Monetary Economics | Economic Fluctuations and Growth
Paper
09/2014, NBER Working Paper Series
This paper studies the distribution of employment growth when firms adjust asymmetrically to dispersed but correlated signals. If hiring decisions respond more... 
Economic Fluctuations and Growth
Paper
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