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2013, ISBN 1107006198, Volume 9781107006195, xi, 574
Assessment of risk and uncertainty is crucial for natural hazard risk management, facilitating risk communication and informing strategies to successfully... 
Natural disasters | Risk assessment | Environment
Book
Journal of Climate, ISSN 0894-8755, 12/2016, Volume 29, Issue 24, pp. 8865 - 8870
In fields such as climate science, it is common to compile an ensemble of different simulators for the same underlying process. It is a striking observation... 
Journal Article
Journal of Climate, ISSN 0894-8755, 12/2016, Volume 29, Issue 24, pp. 8865 - 8870
In fields such as climate science, it is common to compile an ensemble of different simulators for the same underlying process. It is a striking observation... 
Statistics | METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES | FORECASTS
Journal Article
Climatic Change, ISSN 0165-0009, 4/2007, Volume 81, Issue 3, pp. 247 - 264
This paper describes an approach to computing probabilistic assessments of future climate, using a climate model. It clarifies the nature of probability in... 
Geosciences | Meteorology/Climatology | METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES | ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES | Evaluation | Climate | Forecasts and trends | Models | Climatic changes | Management | Climate change | Global warming | Mathematical models
Journal Article
Philosophical Transactions: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, ISSN 1364-503X, 5/2013, Volume 371, Issue 1991, pp. 1 - 12
If you seem to be able to do data assimilation with uncertain static parameters then you are probably not working in environmental science. In this field,... 
State vectors | Paleoclimatology | Musical intervals | Atmospheric models | Inference | Trajectories | Stochastic models | Calibration | Data smoothing | Statistics | Dynamical Systems | Sensitive Dependence On Initial Conditions | Filtering | Smoothing | Attractor
Journal Article
Journal of Climate, ISSN 0894-8755, 11/2018, Volume 31, Issue 21, pp. 9015 - 9016
Journal Article
Lancet Oncology, The, ISSN 1470-2045, 2014, Volume 15, Issue 11, pp. 1224 - 1235
Summary Background VEGFR-2 has a role in gastric cancer pathogenesis and progression. We assessed whether ramucirumab, a monoclonal antibody VEGFR-2... 
Hematology, Oncology and Palliative Medicine | SUPPORTIVE CARE | ONCOLOGY | BEVACIZUMAB | CLINICAL-TRIALS | GROWTH | 2ND-LINE CHEMOTHERAPY | OPEN-LABEL | 1ST-LINE THERAPY | COMBINATION | CANCER | III TRIAL | Confidence Intervals | Adenocarcinoma - pathology | Prognosis | Humans | Middle Aged | Antibodies, Monoclonal - adverse effects | Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols - adverse effects | Male | Stomach Neoplasms - pathology | Esophageal Neoplasms - pathology | Dose-Response Relationship, Drug | Esophageal Neoplasms - mortality | Adult | Female | Remission Induction - methods | Paclitaxel - administration & dosage | Double-Blind Method | Drug Administration Schedule | Kaplan-Meier Estimate | Proportional Hazards Models | Esophagogastric Junction - pathology | Paclitaxel - adverse effects | Treatment Outcome | Stomach Neoplasms - drug therapy | Adenocarcinoma - drug therapy | Disease-Free Survival | Maximum Tolerated Dose | Antibodies, Monoclonal - administration & dosage | Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols - therapeutic use | Survival Analysis | Aged | Esophageal Neoplasms - drug therapy | Stomach Neoplasms - mortality | Adenocarcinoma - mortality | Antimitotic agents | Care and treatment | Hospitals | Clinical trials | Monoclonal antibodies | Product development | Antineoplastic agents | Vascular endothelial growth factor | Esophageal cancer
Journal Article
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), ISSN 0964-1998, 06/2019, Volume 182, Issue 3, pp. 1081 - 1095
Summary Risk is assessed with varying degrees of confidence, and the degree of confidence is relevant to the risk manager. The paper proposes an operational... 
Bazaar of experts | Exceedance probability | No unknown unknowns | Prospective interval | Reasonable worst case | STATISTICS & PROBABILITY | SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS | Risk assessment | Poisson density functions | Modelling | Statistical analysis
Journal Article
Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, ISSN 1061-8600, 12/2008, Volume 17, Issue 4, pp. 827 - 843
One of the challenges with emulating the response of a multivariate function to its inputs is the quantity of data that must be assimilated, which is the... 
Outer-product emulator | Kronecker product | Gaussian process | Separable variance | Determinism | Covariance | Atmospheric models | Climate models | Mathematical functions | Computer Models | Modeling | Factorization | Covariance matrices | Computer modeling | CALIBRATION | COMPUTER | OUTPUT | STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
Journal Article
The American Statistician, ISSN 0003-1305, 03/2019, Volume 73, Issue 1, pp. 148 - 151
Various approaches can be used to construct a model from a null distribution and a test statistic. I prove that one such approach, originating with D. R. Cox,... 
Generalized Likelihood Ratio (GLR) | Embedding model | Exponential tilting | STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
Journal Article
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES, ISSN 1364-503X, 05/2013, Volume 371, Issue 1991, p. 20120297
If you seem to be able to do data assimilation with uncertain static parameters then you are probably not working in environmental science. In this field,... 
dynamical systems | attractor | SURFACE TEMPERATURES | APPROXIMATE BAYESIAN COMPUTATION | MULTIPLE TEMPERATURE PROXIES | MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES | RECONSTRUCTIONS | sensitive dependence on initial conditions | smoothing | INFERENCE | filtering | calibration
Journal Article
Journal Article
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, ISSN 2169-9275, 01/2020, Volume 125, Issue 1, p. n/a
Understanding sea level changes at a regional scale is important for improving local sea level projections and coastal management planning. Sea level budget... 
regional sea level | sea level | sea level budget | Sea surface | Uncertainty | Altimeters | Management planning | Density | Earth | Coastal zone management | Satellite altimetry | Satellite radar | Sea level trends | Height | Trends | Budgets | Gravity | Oceans | Ocean basins | Sea level rise | Sea level | Coastal management | Variance analysis | Sea level measurements | Mass | Errors | Satellites | Radar altimetry | Sea level changes | GRACE (experiment)
Journal Article
Journal of the American Statistical Association, ISSN 0162-1459, 09/2013, Volume 108, Issue 503, pp. 852 - 863
The challenge of understanding complex systems often gives rise to a multiplicity of models. It is natural to consider whether the outputs of these models can... 
Climate sensitivity | Computer experiment | Bayes linear prediction | Applications and Case Studies | COMPLEX-SYSTEMS | PHYSICAL SYSTEMS | MULTIPLE CLIMATE MODELS | UNCERTAINTY | STATISTICS & PROBABILITY | BAYESIAN-APPROACH | PROJECTIONS | INFERENCE | Analysis | Instrumental ensembles
Journal Article