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2010, ISBN 0199228000, vi, 185
How strongly should you believe the various propositions that you can express? That is the key question facing Bayesian epistemology. Subjective Bayesians hold... 
Bayesian statistical decision theory | Mathematical models | Knowledge, Theory of | Reasoning | Mathematics | Bayesianism | Probability | Objective bayesianism | Maxent | Bayesian epistemology | Maximum nntropy
Book
EUROPEAN JOURNAL FOR PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE, ISSN 1879-4912, 01/2020, Volume 10, Issue 1
This paper poses a problem for Lewis' Principal Principle in a subjective Bayesian framework: we show that, where chances inform degrees of belief, subjective... 
Principal principle | Objective Bayesianism | Bayesianism | Subjective Bayesianism | HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE | CREDENCES | Pooling
Journal Article
2016, ISBN 9780674504646, viii, 257 pages
Measured by the accuracy of its predictions and the scope of its technological applications, quantum mechanics is arguably the most successful theory in... 
Quantum Bayesianism | Quantum theory
Book
2012, ISBN 9780199697533, xvi, 372
Book
The American Economic Review, ISSN 0002-8282, 12/2013, Volume 103, Issue 7, pp. 2790 - 2810
This article introduces a new approach to modeling the expanding universe of decision makers in the wake of growing awareness, and invokes the axiomatic... 
Economic models | Economic theory | Axioms | Uniqueness | Lotteries | Mathematical functions | Bayesian theories | Risk preferences | Expected utility | Spatial perception | INTERACTIVE UNAWARENESS | ECONOMICS | Bayes' theorem | Preference reversal | Axiom of choice | Analysis | Studies | Decision analysis | Bayesian analysis
Journal Article
Cognition, ISSN 0010-0277, 09/2015, Volume 142, pp. 299 - 311
•We compare Bayesian updating with updating that takes into account explanatory considerations.•It is shown that explanationist updating provides – in certain... 
Probability | Bayesianism | Updating | Inference | Explanation | TESTS | DECISION | CRITIQUE | MODEL SELECTION | HYPOTHESIS | CONFIRMATION | PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL
Journal Article
Trends in Cognitive Sciences, ISSN 1364-6613, 2016, Volume 20, Issue 10, pp. 748 - 759
Explanations play an important role in learning and inference. People often learn by seeking explanations, and they assess the viability of hypotheses by... 
Neurology | Psychiatry | simplicity | learning | breadth | inference | explanation | abduction | PROBABILITY | BAYESIANISM | SEDUCTIVE ALLURE | SIMPLICITY | ILLUSION | INFORMATION | TELEOLOGICAL EXPLANATIONS | BEHAVIORAL SCIENCES | SELF-EXPLANATIONS | NEUROSCIENCES | PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL | STUDENTS
Journal Article
Economics and Philosophy, ISSN 0266-2671, 2018, Volume 35, Issue 2, pp. 321 - 338
While Bayesian methods are widely used in economics and finance, the foundations of this approach remain controversial. In the contemporary statistical... 
Bayesianism | Ockham's razor | model | simplicity | prior probability | ECONOMICS | INFERENCE | ETHICS
Journal Article
Cognitive Science, ISSN 0364-0213, 05/2018, Volume 42, Issue 4, pp. 1345 - 1359
Occam's razor—the idea that all else being equal, we should pick the simpler hypothesis—plays a prominent role in ordinary and scientific inference. But why... 
Bayesianism | Probability | Simplicity | Flexibility | Explanation | ACCOUNT | GENERIC PRIORS | EXPLANATIONS | MODEL | INFERENCE | PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL
Journal Article
Philosophers Imprint, ISSN 1533-628X, 2014, Volume 14, Issue 4
Journal Article
Journal of Cognitive Psychology, ISSN 2044-5911, 11/2016, Volume 28, Issue 8, pp. 1004 - 1012
There is evidence that people update their credences partly on the basis of explanatory considerations. Philosophers have recently argued that to minimise the... 
belief change | Bayesianism | accuracy | Explanation | reasoning | INFERENCE | PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL
Journal Article
2014, Palgrave innovations in philosophy, ISBN 9781137012258, x, 195 pages
In this new explanationist account of epistemic justification, Poston argues that the explanatory virtues provide all the materials necessary for a plausible... 
Knowledge, Theory of | Philosophy | Epistemology | Epistemology, Metaphysics and Logic | Coherentism, Foundationalism, Justification, Reasons, Inference to the best explanation, Explanation, A Priori justification, Conservatism, Bayesianism | Genetic epistemology
Book
Analysis, ISSN 0003-2638, 04/2018, Volume 78, Issue 2, pp. 207 - 216
Abstract One of the main goals of Bayesian epistemology is to justify the rational norms credence functions ought to obey. Accuracy arguments attempt to... 
Bayesianism | accuracy | epistemology | ideal agent theorizing | Probabilism | PHILOSOPHY
Journal Article
Opcion, ISSN 1012-1587, 2016, Volume 32, Issue 12, pp. 301 - 326
Journal Article
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, ISSN 0027-8424, 7/2017, Volume 114, Issue 30, pp. 7958 - 7962
Financial markets reveal what investors think about the future, and prediction markets are used to forecast election results. Could markets also encourage... 
Bayesianism | Economic incentives | Mechanism design | Truth telling | Prediction markets | prediction markets | GAME | MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES | truth telling | CONSENSUS | economic incentives | TRUTH SERUM | mechanism design | ECONOMICS | INCENTIVES | Social Sciences
Journal Article
Psychological Review, ISSN 0033-295X, 10/2018, Volume 125, Issue 5, pp. 806 - 821
According to the Bayesian paradigm in the psychology of reasoning, the norms by which everyday human cognition is best evaluated are probabilistic rather than... 
Bayesianism | Logical validity | Argumentation | Dual source models | Reasoning | dual source models | PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY | argumentation | reasoning | logical validity | CONDITIONALS | BELIEF | PSYCHOLOGY | PROBABILITIES | RATIONALITY | Learning | Models, Theoretical | Logic | Humans | Bayes Theorem | Thinking
Journal Article
Erkenntnis, ISSN 0165-0106, 07/2018, Volume 85, Issue 1, pp. 1 - 41
Varied evidence confirms more strongly than less varied evidence, ceteris paribus. This epistemological Variety of Evidence Thesis enjoys widespread intuitive... 
BAYESIANISM | ROBUSTNESS | DIVERSITY | CAUSAL INFERENCE | PHILOSOPHY
Journal Article
Inquiry, ISSN 0020-174X, 10/2018, Volume 61, Issue 7, pp. 731 - 741
The paper is a critique of Allan Gibbard's impressively crafted monograph Meaning and Normativity. The book relies on a subtle form of logical empiricism,... 
synonymy | verificationism | Bayesianism | normativity | Gibbard | analytic | PHILOSOPHY | ETHICS | Semantics
Journal Article
Australasian Journal of Philosophy, ISSN 0004-8402, 10/2016, Volume 94, Issue 4, pp. 766 - 780
Rational agents have (more or less) consistent beliefs. Bayesianism is a theory of consistency for partial belief states. Rational agents also respond... 
Dogmatism | Bayesianism | epistemology | justification | scepticism | perception | PHILOSOPHY | HOLISM
Journal Article
SYNTHESE, ISSN 0039-7857, 04/2019, Volume 196, Issue 4, pp. 1623 - 1640
Impermissivists hold that an agent with a given body of evidence has at most one rationally permitted attitude that she should adopt towards any particular... 
Bayesianism | HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE | PHILOSOPHY | Uniqueness | Permissivism | Ranged credence
Journal Article
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