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2017, ISBN 9781785902222, 288 pages
Book
The American Economic Review, ISSN 0002-8282, 8/2015, Volume 105, Issue 8, pp. 2644 - 2678
Journal Article
1997, ISBN 9780521434201, xv, 222
Weather and climate extremes can significantly impact the economics of a region. This book examines how weather and climate forecasts can be used to mitigate... 
Long-range weather forecasts | Economic aspects | Weather forecasting
Book
2004, Population and sustainable development series, ISBN 1844070891, x, 341
The 20th century was the century of explosive population growth, resulting in unprecedented impacts; in contrast, the 21st century is likely to see the end of... 
Twenty-first century | Demographic transition | Population forecasting | Health Geography | Sustainable Development | Forecasts | Population
Book
International Journal of Forecasting, ISSN 0169-2070, 2011, Volume 27, Issue 4, pp. 1058 - 1065
Journal Article
1989, ISBN 9780091740887, viii, 216
Book
Journal of Econometrics, ISSN 0304-4076, 2006, Volume 135, Issue 1, pp. 499 - 526
“Iterated” multiperiod-ahead time series forecasts are made using a one-period ahead model, iterated forward for the desired number of periods, whereas... 
Forecast comparisons | Multistep forecasts | Var forecasts | TESTS | MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS | MODEL SELECTION | SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS | ECONOMICS | multistep forecasts | var forecasts | forecast comparisons | PREDICTION | Autoregression (Statistics) | Economic forecasting | Time-series analysis | Macroeconomics | Analysis | Methods
Journal Article
1923, Ed. 2, rev., xliii, 584 p. map, chart, diag.
Book
Journal of Economic Literature, ISSN 0022-0515, 12/2013, Volume 51, Issue 4, pp. 1063 - 1119
Journal Article
1989, ISBN 9780875842462, xii, 278
Book
Management Science, ISSN 0025-1909, 01/2019, Volume 65, Issue 1, p. 90
The paper develops a model for combining point forecasts into a predictive distribution for a variable of interest. Our approach allows for point forecasts to... 
Forecasts | Uncertainty
Journal Article
Journal of Advertising, ISSN 0091-3367, 07/2016, Volume 45, Issue 3, pp. 334 - 345
Answering recent calls for a new definition of advertising, we identify three dynamics-(new) media and formats, (new) "consumer" behaviors, and extended... 
Forecasts | Advertising
Journal Article
The American Economic Review, ISSN 0002-8282, 5/2013, Volume 103, Issue 3, pp. 117 - 120
Journal Article
Judgment and Decision Making, ISSN 1930-2975, 11/2012, Volume 7, Issue 6, pp. 728 - 740
Research on forecasting is effectively limited to forecasts that are expressed with clarity; which is to say that the forecasted event must be sufficiently... 
Imprecise forecasts | Probability calibration | Political forecasting | Inferred probability | Judgment-based forecasting | Forecast accuracy | Imputed probability | Verbal probability | imputed probability | verbal probability | EXPRESSIONS | PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY | probability calibration | inferred probability | judgment-based forecasting | imprecise forecasts | forecast accuracy | political forecasting | Studies | Probability | Forecasts | Forecasting | then quantitative measures (scoring rules | Research on forecasting is effectively limited to forecasts that areexpressed with clarity; which is to say that the forecasted event mustbe sufficiently well-defined so that it can be clearly resolvedwhether or not the event occurred and forecasts certainties areexpressed as quantitative probabilities. When forecasts are expressedwith clarity | and consequently the accuracythe methods used to generate real world forecasts. This paperaddresses this deficiency by presenting an approach to measuring theaccuracy of imprecise real world forecasts using the same quantitativemetrics routinely used to measure the accuracy of well-definedforecasts. To demonstrate applicability | whichin turn can be used to measure the comparative accuracy of differentforecasting methods. Unfortunately most real world forecasts are notexpressed clearly. This lack of clarity extends to both thedescription of the forecast event and to the use of vague language toexpress forecast certainty. It is thus difficult to assess theaccuracy of most real world forecasts | etc.) can be used to measure forecast accuracy | the InferredProbability Method is applied to measure the accuracy of forecasts infourteen documents examining complex political domains.Key wordsforecasting | politicalforecasting | discrimination | calibration
Journal Article
1989, ISBN 9780312015862, xxviii, 584
Book
Research in International Business and Finance, ISSN 0275-5319, 12/2018, Volume 46, pp. 201 - 210
Journal Article
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