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European Economic Review, ISSN 0014-2921, 09/2016, Volume 88, pp. 208 - 226
The demographic transition can affect the equilibrium real interest rate through three channels. An increase in longevity—or expectations thereof—puts downward... 
Zero lower bound | Life expectancy | Population growth | Secular Stagnation | Real interest rate | Monetary policy | Demographic transition | INTERTEMPORAL SUBSTITUTION | MONETARY-POLICY | DEBT | DECLINE | INFLATION | GROWTH | ECONOMICS | CONSUMPTION | Federal Reserve banks | Prices and rates | Retirees | Analysis | Interest rates
Journal Article
The Review of Economic Studies, ISSN 0034-6527, 10/2003, Volume 70, Issue 4, pp. 861 - 886
This paper considers the desirability of the observed tendency of central banks to adjust interest rates only gradually in response to changes in economic... 
Output gaps | Optimal policy | Monetary policy | Inflation rates | Central banking | Inertia | Central banks | Nominal interest rates | Coefficients | Interest rates | TARGET | ECONOMICS | DISCRETION | MONETARY-POLICY RULES
Journal Article
American Economic Review, ISSN 0002-8282, 01/2019, Volume 109, Issue 1, pp. 86 - 120
We argue that an influential neo-Fisherian analysis of the effects of low interest rates depends on using perfect foresight equilibrium analysis under... 
ECONOMICS | GUIDANCE | Equilibrium (Economics) | Forecasts and trends | Deflation (Finance) | Analysis | Interest rates | Economic models | Deflation
Journal Article
American Economic Review, ISSN 0002-8282, 07/2017, Volume 107, Issue 7, pp. 1971 - 2006
Using Bayesian methods, we estimate a nonlinear DSGE model in which the interest-rate lower bound is occasionally binding. We quantify the size and nature of... 
SOLVING DYNAMIC-MODELS | NOMINAL RIGIDITIES | MONTE-CARLO METHODS | BUSINESS CYCLES | MONETARY-POLICY | ECONOMICS | OCCASIONALLY BINDING CONSTRAINTS | SHOCKS | GREAT RECESSION | LIKELIHOOD | Economic aspects | Monetary policy | United States | Economic development | Interest rates | Economic models | Economic recovery
Journal Article
Review of Economic Dynamics, ISSN 1094-2025, 01/2019, Volume 31, pp. 36 - 62
How do low real interest rates constrain monetary policy? Is the zero lower bound optimal if the real interest rate is sufficiently low? What is the role of... 
Monetary policy | Zero lower bound | Neo-Fisherism | LIQUIDITY | ECONOMICS
Journal Article
The American Economic Review, ISSN 0002-8282, 03/2005, Volume 95, Issue 1, pp. 425 - 436
Current macroeconomic models provide appealing, succinct descriptions of business cycle dynamics in the United States and other countries, but less is known... 
Economic models | Steady state economies | Inflation shocks | Monetary policy | Inflation rates | Macroeconomic modeling | Shorter Papers | Macroeconomics | Surprise | Nominal interest rates | Interest rates | MONETARY-POLICY | ECONOMICS | MARKET INTEREST-RATES | BEHAVIOR | Usage | Analysis | Forecasts and trends | Econometric models | Studies | Economists | Forecasting techniques
Journal Article
Journal of Quantitative Economics, ISSN 0971-1554, 3/2018, Volume 16, Issue 1, pp. 265 - 288
This paper examines the role of monetary factors in the variation of nominal interest rates in India for the deregulated regime of interest rates and the... 
Economics | C3 | Money supply | Fisher equation | Statistics for Business/Economics/Mathematical Finance/Insurance | Liquidity effect | Nominal interest rate | ARDL model | Econometrics | Game Theory, Economics, Social and Behav. Sciences | Exchange rate | E4
Journal Article
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, ISSN 0007-2303, 4/2017, Volume 2017, Issue 1, pp. 317 - 372
Journal Article
Applied Economics, ISSN 0003-6846, 03/2018, Volume 50, Issue 12, pp. 1342 - 1361
Journal Article
Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, ISSN 1752-0843, 05/2019, Volume 12, Issue 2, pp. 124 - 133
The paper estimates the relationship between the nominal Treasuries rate and inflation in China. The dynamic econometric analysis yields a preferred,... 
dynamic econometric modelling | Fisher effect | nominal interest rate | inflation | China
Journal Article
Energy Economics, ISSN 0140-9883, 01/2017, Volume 61, pp. 270 - 278
This paper considers whether the use of real oil price data can improve upon the forecasts for the nominal interest rate in South Africa. We employ Bayesian... 
South Africa | Interest rate | Forecasting | Oil price | AGGREGATE MACROECONOMIC BEHAVIOR | TIME-SERIES | MONETARY-POLICY | BUSINESS | ECONOMICS | SHOCKS | INFERENCE | FACTS | Analysis | Models | Interest rates | Autoregressive models | Prediction | Regression analysis | Petroleum | Studies | Crude oil prices | Prices | Oil | Pricing | Mathematical models | Property | Bayesian analysis
Journal Article
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, ISSN 0022-2879, 10/2006, Volume 38, Issue 7, pp. 1877 - 1905
Journal Article
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, ISSN 0924-865X, 5/2013, Volume 40, Issue 4, pp. 741 - 745
This paper investigates the (break) stationarity null hypothesis using data for 25 interest rates with different maturities and risk characteristics in Canada... 
Finance/Investment/Banking | Unit root tests | F30 | Financial markets | E43 | G10 | Economics / Management Science | Structural breaks | Accounting/Auditing | Operations Research/Decision Theory | Financial economics | Nonlinearity | Econometrics | Statistical hypothesis testing | Analysis | Studies | Economic models | Economic theory | Finance | Securities markets | Risk | Economic statistics | Interest rates
Journal Article
International Review of Financial Analysis, ISSN 1057-5219, 07/2014, Volume 34, pp. 89 - 100
The effect of inflation on the credit spreads of corporate bonds is investigated utilising real instead of nominal interest rates in extensions of the models... 
Credit spreads | Reduced-form models | Corporate bonds | Real interest rates | Structural models | EMPIRICAL-ANALYSIS | LIQUIDITY | DETERMINANTS | MARKETS | RISK | DEBT | FINANCIAL CRISIS | BUSINESS, FINANCE | TERM STRUCTURE | BONDS | Analysis | Financial markets | Interest rates
Journal Article
Economics Letters, ISSN 0165-1765, 11/2015, Volume 136, pp. 204 - 206
This paper employs the Bai and Perron (1998, 2003) structural break methodology to investigate important structural shifts in US interest rates using data from... 
Structural breaks | Regime changes | Interest rate risk | OIL-PRICE SHOCK | POLICY | MODELS | UNIT-ROOT HYPOTHESIS | ECONOMICS | GREAT CRASH | EXPECTATIONS | FEDERAL-RESERVE | Interest rates
Journal Article
Intereconomics, ISSN 0020-5346, 11/2015, Volume 50, Issue 6, pp. 350 - 355
A new theory of interest rates, the Neo-Fisherian theory, predicts a low inflation rate due to a central bank’s low interest rate. After several years of... 
Economics | Economic Policy | Social Policy | European Integration | Labor Economics | Prices and rates | Monetary policy | Inflation (Finance) | Central banks | Interest rates | Studies | Prices | Effectiveness | Inflation | Full employment policies | Economic theory | Interest rate | Banking
Journal Article
Journal of International Money and Finance, ISSN 0261-5606, 02/2013, Volume 32, Issue 1, pp. 941 - 967
Beginning in 2008, in many advanced economies, policy rates reached their zero lower bound (ZLB) and almost at the same time, oil prices started rising again.... 
DSGE models | Zero lower bound | Oil shocks | BUSINESS, FINANCE | Federal Reserve banks | Prices and rates | Gross domestic product | Analysis | Interest rates
Journal Article
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, ISSN 0165-1889, 12/2013, Volume 37, Issue 12, pp. 2547 - 2561
We study two kinds of unconventional monetary policies: announcements about the future path of the short-term rate and long-term nominal interest rates as... 
Term structure | Taylor rule | Risk premia | Unconventional monetary policy | E52 | E43 | E58 | ECONOMICS | Monetary policy | Interest rates
Journal Article
Journal of Monetary Economics, ISSN 0304-3932, 2007, Volume 54, Issue 3, pp. 728 - 752
Ignoring the existence of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates one considerably understates the value of monetary commitment in New Keynesian models.... 
Markov perfect equilibrium | Liquidity trap | Nonlinear optimal policy | Occasionally binding constraint | Sequential policy | liquidity trap | nonlinear optimal policy | BUSINESS, FINANCE | sequential policy | occasionally binding constraint | ECONOMICS | Monetary policy | Federal Reserve banks | Prices and rates | Economic conditions | Analysis | Interest rates
Journal Article
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