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Journal of Hydrology, ISSN 0022-1694, 08/2015, Volume 527, pp. 1054 - 1072
In the hydrology studies, it is well known that the river flows are affected by various factors, and therefore the dynamics in their associated time series are... 
Hydrology | Autoregressive | Non linear | AIC | Monte Carlo | BIC | BUSINESS-CYCLE | PERFORMANCE | WATER RESOURCES | PREDICTION | MULTIFRACTAL ANALYSIS | ENGINEERING, CIVIL | GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY | NEURAL-NETWORKS | THRESHOLD MODELS | RUNOFF | RAINFALL | RANGE | Nonlinear dynamics | Time series | Nonlinearity | Mathematical models | Criteria | Forecasting | Discharge
Journal Article
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), ISSN 1369-7412, 11/2018, Volume 80, Issue 5, pp. 975 - 993
Journal Article
Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, ISSN 0361-0926, 11/2015, Volume 44, Issue 21, pp. 4651 - 4661
For the class of autoregressive-moving average (ARMA) processes, we examine the relationship between the dual and the inverse processes. It is demonstrated... 
Primary 62M10; Secondary 60G10 | Inverse and dual processes | Inverse and ordinary autocorrelations | Non linear time series | Time reversibility | Weak ARMA models | All-pass time series models | AUTOCORRELATIONS | VIDEO | STATISTICS & PROBABILITY | Economic models | Time series
Journal Article
The Review of Economic Studies, ISSN 0034-6527, 10/2010, Volume 77, Issue 4, pp. 1508 - 1539
The paper investigates inference in non-linear and non-Gaussian models with moderately timevarying parameters. We show that for many decision problems, the... 
Economic models | Time series models | Approximation | Economic theory | Mathematical independent variables | Inference | Parametric models | Weighting functions | Estimators | Term weighting | REGRESSION | MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD-ESTIMATION | ASYMPTOTIC EQUIVALENCE | NUISANCE PARAMETER | TESTS | CHANGE-POINT | MONETARY-POLICY | WHITE-NOISE | ECONOMICS | STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY | INFERENCE
Journal Article
International Journal of Forecasting, ISSN 0169-2070, 07/2002, Volume 18, Issue 3, pp. 421 - 438
Combined forecasts from a linear and a nonlinear model are investigated for time series with possibly nonlinear characteristics. The forecasts are combined by... 
ExpAR model | Time varying coefficient model | Combining forecasts | Locally (non)linear modeling | Threshold model | combining forecasts | MANAGEMENT | threshold model | PERFORMANCE | locally (non)linear modeling | time varying coefficient model | ECONOMICS | SETAR MODELS | Economic forecasting | Time-series analysis | Models | Methods
Journal Article
Applied Mathematics and Computation, ISSN 0096-3003, 2008, Volume 203, Issue 1, pp. 224 - 232
We consider the problem of optimal state estimation for a wide class of non-linear time series models. A modified sigma point filter is proposed, which uses a... 
Non-linear time series | Sigma point filters | State estimation | MATHEMATICS, APPLIED | state estimation | non-linear time series | SYSTEMS | sigma point filters | Analysis | Models | Algorithms
Journal Article
Expert Systems With Applications, ISSN 0957-4174, 2010, Volume 37, Issue 2, pp. 974 - 984
Forecasting has always been a crucial challenge for organizations as they play an important role in making many critical decisions. Much effort has been... 
Fitness efficiency index | Curve fit | Hybrid metaheuristic | Simulated annealing | Time-series | Non-linear regression | Forecasting | Particle swarm optimization | PROPERTY | COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE | ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC | OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE | ARIMA
Journal Article
Journal of Open Research Software, ISSN 2049-9647, 2019, Volume 7, Issue 1
Time series models are ubiquitous in science, arising in any situation where researchers seek to understand how a system's behaviour changes over time. A key... 
Computer Science - Mathematical Software | non-linear optimisation | Time series models | MCMC sampling | nested sampling | Bayesian inference | Python
Journal Article
Statistical Methods & Applications, ISSN 1618-2510, 8/2012, Volume 21, Issue 3, pp. 363 - 369
We discuss the scientific contribution of Battaglia and Protopapas’ paper concerning the debate on global warming supported by an extensive analysis of... 
Forecastability content | AR metric | Statistics for Business/Economics/Mathematical Finance/Insurance | Time series classification | Non-linear models | Economic Theory | Statistics, general | ARIMA models | Statistics | STATISTICS & PROBABILITY | Studies | Statistical methods | Global warming | Time series
Journal Article
Applied Economics, ISSN 0003-6846, 05/2019, Volume 51, Issue 22, pp. 2355 - 2376
We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to assess the need to use non-linear models to describe business... 
C22 | Business cycles | E32 | testing | unit roots | non-linear time series models | C51 | SETAR | COUNTRIES | TIME-SERIES MODELS | POWER | NONLINEAR STAR | GROWTH | DYNAMICS | ECONOMICS | UNIT-ROOT TESTS | STATIONARY | Economic models
Journal Article
International Journal of Forecasting, ISSN 0169-2070, 04/2004, Volume 20, Issue 2, pp. 169 - 183
In this paper we discuss the current state-of-the-art in estimating, evaluating, and selecting among non-linear forecasting models for economic and financial... 
Financial | Non-linear models | Economic | RISK-MANAGEMENT | BUSINESS-CYCLE | MANAGEMENT | INTERVAL FORECASTS | financial | ASYMMETRIC LOSS | non-linear models | LINEAR-MODELS | ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORKS | PRICE MACROECONOMY RELATIONSHIP | PREDICTIVE ACCURACY | CONSISTENT TEST | SELECTION APPROACH | ECONOMICS | economic
Journal Article
Journal of Econometrics, ISSN 0304-4076, 01/2014, Volume 178, Issue 2, pp. 331 - 341
The order of integration is valid to characterize linear processes; but it is not appropriate for non-linear worlds. We propose the concept of summability (a... 
Co-summability | Non-linear balanced relationships | Co-integration | Integrated processes | Summability | Non-linear processes | ROOT | MACROECONOMIC TIME-SERIES | MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS | COINTEGRATION | CONVERGENCE | SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS | ASYMPTOTICS | ECONOMICS | REGRESSIONS
Journal Article
International Journal of Forecasting, ISSN 0169-2070, 07/2015, Volume 31, Issue 3, pp. 664 - 679
The debate on the forecasting ability of non-linear models has a long history, and the episode provides an interesting opportunity for a re-assessment of the... 
Non-linear models | Global recession | Forecast comparison | TESTS | BUSINESS-CYCLE | MANAGEMENT | EXCHANGE-RATES | PERFORMANCE | NESTED MODELS | SMOOTH TRANSITION AUTOREGRESSIONS | PREDICTIVE ACCURACY | ABILITY | TIME-SERIES | ECONOMICS | Economics and Finance | Humanities and Social Sciences
Journal Article