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2013, ISBN 0691155232, vi, 432
... market participants' expectations an autonomous role, contemporary models rely on the rational expectations hypothesis (REH... 
Rational expectations (Economic theory) | Macroeconomics | Economics | Banks & Banking | KFFK | Theory | Finance | Business & Economics | KCA | General | KFF | KCB | BUSINESS & ECONOMICS
Book
The Economic journal (London), ISSN 0013-0133, 7/2004, Volume 114, Issue 497, pp. 592 - 621
Journal Article
Energy Economics, ISSN 0140-9883, 03/2019, Volume 79, pp. 59 - 75
Journal Article
Journal of financial economics, ISSN 0304-405X, 2012, Volume 106, Issue 2, pp. 367 - 394
..., and objective probability measures. We establish that model-based inflation expectations are driven by inflation, output, and one latent factor... 
Affine term structure models | Macro factors | Hidden factors | Survey forecasts | BUSINESS, FINANCE | YIELD CURVE | PREMIA | INFORMATION | DYNAMICS | REAL RATES | VARIABLES | ECONOMICS | Inflation (Finance) | Analysis
Journal Article
The American economic review, ISSN 0002-8282, 2007, Volume 97, Issue 4, pp. 1102 - 1130
... considered "puzzling" by reversing every inequality discrepancy needing to be explained. This paper shows that Bayesian updating of unknown structural parameters inevitably adds a permanent tail-thickening effect to posterior expectations... 
Consumption | Statistical variance | Economic expectations | Economic theory | Economic uncertainty | Economic growth rate | Mathematical constants | Mathematical moments | Random variables | Calibration | FINANCIAL-MARKETS | ECONOMICS | PRICES | EQUITY PREMIUM | VOLATILITY | Return on assets | Research | Studies | Uncertainty | Growth rate | Volatility | Expected utility | Bayesian analysis
Journal Article
The Journal of Finance, ISSN 0022-1082, 10/2019, Volume 74, Issue 5, pp. 2491 - 2542
ABSTRACT Using novel survey data, we document that individuals extrapolate from recent personal experiences when forming expectations about aggregate economic outcomes... 
BUSINESS, FINANCE | MARKET | INVESTORS | REALIZATIONS | ECONOMICS | JOB LOSS | LEVERAGE | Federal Reserve banks | Business schools | Unemployment | Financial disclosure | Extrapolation | Risk adjustment | Volatility | Housing prices | Individual differences | Personal experiences | Mortgages | Employment status
Journal Article
1996, 2nd ed., Cambridge surveys of economic literature, ISBN 0521479398, xii, 184
Economists have developed models in which individuals form expectations of key variables in a 'rational' manner such that these expectations are consistent with actual economic environments... 
Microeconomics | Rational expectations (Economic theory) | Macroeconomics
Book
Energy policy, ISSN 0301-4215, 2015, Volume 86, pp. 749 - 758
Understanding public perceptions of energy is important for informing energy-related business, research and policy strategies. To this end, a new U.S. consumer... 
Attitudes | Environment | Survey | Reliability | Affordability | Consumers | ENERGY & FUELS | BEHAVIOR | TRENDS | ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES | ECONOMICS | ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES | PUBLIC PERCEPTIONS | Analysis | Consumer preferences | Expectations | Energy consumption | Households | Income | Energy policy | Research | Environmental impact | Studies | Prices | Energy resources | Brackets | Energy | Gasoline | Consumer attitudes | Public opinion | Gasoline prices | Residential energy
Journal Article
The Journal of economic perspectives, ISSN 0895-3309, 10/2010, Volume 24, Issue 4, pp. 67 - 84
Journal Article
The Journal of finance (New York), ISSN 0022-1082, 2002, Volume 57, Issue 2, pp. 769 - 799
Journal Article
Social indicators research, ISSN 1573-0921, 2018, Volume 143, Issue 1, pp. 95 - 114
Journal Article
The Journal of finance (New York), ISSN 0022-1082, 2006, Volume 61, Issue 2, pp. 655 - 687
Journal Article