X
Search Filters
Format Format
Format Format
X
Sort by Item Count (A-Z)
Filter by Count
Journal Article (197) 197
Book Chapter (10) 10
Conference Proceeding (6) 6
Book / eBook (1) 1
Dissertation (1) 1
Magazine Article (1) 1
Publication (1) 1
more...
Subjects Subjects
Subjects Subjects
X
Sort by Item Count (A-Z)
Filter by Count
economics (86) 86
turning points (76) 76
business cycles (63) 63
turning-points (50) 50
forecasting (46) 46
management (46) 46
analysis (41) 41
studies (40) 40
forecasts and trends (35) 35
turning point (35) 35
economic models (30) 30
time-series (27) 27
economic forecasting (25) 25
business cycle (23) 23
leading indicators (23) 23
business fluctuations, cycles (21) 21
economic indicators (20) 20
planning & development (19) 19
recessions (19) 19
social sciences, mathematical methods (19) 19
usage (19) 19
forecast (18) 18
cycle (16) 16
growth (16) 16
methods (16) 16
business-cycle (15) 15
economic growth (14) 14
inflation (14) 14
northern america (14) 14
recession (14) 14
economic theory (13) 13
research (13) 13
u.s (13) 13
china (12) 12
europe (12) 12
forecasting models, simulation methods (12) 12
gross domestic product (12) 12
statistics & probability (12) 12
accuracy (11) 11
econometrics (11) 11
economic time-series (11) 11
output (11) 11
regression analysis (11) 11
economic development (10) 10
markov analysis (10) 10
prices (10) 10
prices, business fluctuations, and cycles: forecasting and simulation: models and applications (10) 10
time series (10) 10
economic forecasts (9) 9
germany (9) 9
macroeconomics: production (9) 9
mathematical models (9) 9
statistical analysis (9) 9
business, finance (8) 8
forecasting techniques (8) 8
forecasts (8) 8
humans (8) 8
index (8) 8
j pc management (8) 8
j uq planning & development (8) 8
macroeconomics (8) 8
markets (8) 8
monetary-policy (8) 8
stock markets (8) 8
trends (8) 8
turning (8) 8
business forecasting (7) 7
cointegration (7) 7
dynamics (7) 7
e32 (7) 7
economic aspects (7) 7
indexes (7) 7
markov processes (7) 7
mathematics, interdisciplinary applications (7) 7
neural networks (7) 7
transmission (7) 7
variables (7) 7
asia (6) 6
business cycle turning points (6) 6
economic fluctuations (6) 6
efficiency (6) 6
employment (6) 6
epidemics (6) 6
financial variables (6) 6
forecasting models (6) 6
gdp (6) 6
gross domestic product--gdp (6) 6
growth rate (6) 6
modeling (6) 6
probit model (6) 6
statistics (6) 6
sustainable development (6) 6
tests (6) 6
united states economic conditions (6) 6
autoregressive models (5) 5
bayesian statistical decision theory (5) 5
business structures (5) 5
consumption (5) 5
economic conditions (5) 5
economic recessions (5) 5
more...
Language Language
Publication Date Publication Date
Click on a bar to filter by decade
Slide to change publication date range


International Journal of Forecasting, ISSN 0169-2070, 04/2017, Volume 33, Issue 2, pp. 543 - 559
Government debt and its forecasts attracted considerable attention during the recent financial crisis... 
Forecasts | Debt | Federal government | United States | Bias | Impulse indicator saturation | Projections | Autometrics | TESTS | STRUCTURAL-CHANGE | SERIES | ERRORS | MANAGEMENT | BUDGET | STATE | MODELS | PREDICT | ECONOMICS | TURNING-POINT FORECASTS | EFFICIENCY | Government finance | Public debts | Business cycles | Analysis
Journal Article
Applied Economics, ISSN 0003-6846, 05/2019, Volume 51, Issue 21, pp. 2289 - 2312
This paper assesses the contribution of confidence - or sentiment - data for predicting Canadian economic slowdowns. A probit framework is applied to an... 
leading indicators | probability forecasting | turning points | Business cycles | confidence data | PROBABILITY | PREDICTING US RECESSIONS | GROWTH | FINANCIAL VARIABLES | ECONOMICS | PROBIT | Economic forecasting | Forecasting
Journal Article
Journal of Macroeconomics, ISSN 0164-0704, 03/2016, Volume 47, pp. 166 - 187
Journal Article
International Journal of Forecasting, ISSN 0169-2070, 01/2007, Volume 23, Issue 1, pp. 15 - 28
Quantification techniques are popular methods in empirical research for aggregating the qualitative predictions at the micro-level into a single figure. In... 
Quantification methods | Turning points | Forecasting quality | Qualitative survey data | Linear time series models | RESPONSES | linear time series models | MANAGEMENT | INFLATION-EXPECTATIONS | quantification methods | PRICE EXPECTATIONS | forecasting quality | qualitative survey data | ECONOMICS | turning points
Journal Article
International Journal of Forecasting, ISSN 0169-2070, 2001, Volume 17, Issue 3, pp. 419 - 432
The performance of Consensus Forecasts of real GDP growth is evaluated for a large number of industrialized and developing countries for the time period 1989 to 1998... 
Forecast comparisons | Turning points | Forecast accuracy | MANAGEMENT | turning points | PANEL-DATA | forecast accuracy | forecast comparisons | PLANNING & DEVELOPMENT | Evaluation | Economic forecasting | Forecasts and trends | Private sector | Gross domestic product
Journal Article
Emerging Infectious Diseases, ISSN 1080-6040, 2006, Volume 12, Issue 1, pp. 122 - 127
Journal Article
International Journal of Forecasting, ISSN 0169-2070, 01/2013, Volume 29, Issue 1, pp. 175 - 190
Evaluation methodologies for rare events from meteorology, psychology and medical diagnosis are used to examine the value of probabilistic forecasts of real GDP declines during the current quarter (Q0... 
Binary prediction | Rare events | Survey of professional forecasters | Relative operating characteristics | Odds ratio | Calibration | Skill score | Recession | Subjective probability | Resolution | ODDS | MANAGEMENT | BRIER SCORE | RECESSIONS | TURNING-POINTS | ERROR | ECONOMICS | VERIFICATION | Gross domestic product | Statistics | Analysis | Methods
Journal Article
International Journal of Forecasting, ISSN 0169-2070, 10/2013, Volume 29, Issue 4, pp. 605 - 621
We document information rigidity in forecasts of real GDP growth in 46 countries over the past two decades... 
Cross-country forecasts | Efficiency | Turning points | MANAGEMENT | PREDICT | STATE | ECONOMICS | Gross domestic product
Journal Article
The Journal of Economic Perspectives, ISSN 0895-3309, 1/2017, Volume 31, Issue 1, pp. 49 - 70
Journal Article
Journal of Banking and Finance, ISSN 0378-4266, 09/2013, Volume 37, Issue 9, pp. 3351 - 3363
•We examine the predictability of the U.S. bear and bull stock markets.•In forecasting, dynamic binary time series models are considered.•U.S. bear and bull... 
Out-of-sample forecasts | Probit model | Bear markets | Asset allocation | Turning point | RETURNS | SIZE | REGIMES | SAMPLE | BUSINESS, FINANCE | FINANCIAL VARIABLES | US RECESSIONS | ECONOMICS | Stock markets
Journal Article
International Review of Applied Economics, ISSN 0269-2171, 11/2017, Volume 31, Issue 6, pp. 707 - 733
This paper provides a full characterization of unemployment rate forecasts using the mean values from Consensus Economics for a sample of nine advanced economies between 1989 and 2012... 
efficiency | recovery | Forecast comparison | bias | information rigidity | recession | Turning points | Unemployment rates | Values | Bear markets | Economic conditions | Unemployment | Forecasting | Errors | Accuracy | Recessions | Pessimism | Business cycles | Private sector
Journal Article
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, ISSN 0305-9049, 02/2020, Volume 82, Issue 1, pp. 156 - 179
From 1987 through 2013, the Federal Open Market Committee appears to have set its federal funds rate target with reference to Greenbook forecasts of the output gap and inflation and, at times, also... 
INFLATION | MACROECONOMIC STABILITY | STATE | STATISTICS & PROBABILITY | SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS | ECONOMICS | MONETARY-POLICY RULES | VECTOR | Prescribed | Turning points | Inflation | Parameters | Business cycles | Open market operations | Discretion | Funds
Journal Article
Journal of Economic Policy Reform, ISSN 1748-7870, 2018, Volume 23, Issue 2, pp. 161 - 183
This paper assesses European Commission’s fiscal forecasts for a sample of 10 Central and Eastern European countries between 2005 and 2015... 
Central and Eastern Europe | efficient forecasts | turning points | European commission forecasts | rational forecasts | Errors | Turning points | Accuracy | Inflation | Business cycles | Bias | Expenditures | Forecasting | Economic development | Optimism
Journal Article
Journal of Monetary Economics, ISSN 0304-3932, 2002, Volume 49, Issue 2, pp. 365 - 381
Journal Article
Journal of Forecasting, ISSN 0277-6693, 12/2009, Volume 28, Issue 8, pp. 698 - 711
...‐components improves the real‐time capacity to forecast GDP and consumption. A Bayesian error correction approach augmented with the consumer sentiment index and permutations of the consumer sentiment sub... 
consumer sentiment | composite forecast | cointegration | Bayesian | Consumer sentiment | Composite forecast | Cointegration | SERIES | MANAGEMENT | PLANNING & DEVELOPMENT | VAR MODELS | PREDICTORS | TURNING-POINTS | EXPECTATIONS | CONFIDENCE | LEADING INDICATORS | Bayesian statistical decision theory | Consumer spending | Usage | Forecasts and trends | Gross domestic product | Analysis
Journal Article
Applied Soft Computing Journal, ISSN 1568-4946, 05/2019, Volume 78, pp. 685 - 696
Journal Article
Journal of Forecasting, ISSN 0277-6693, 09/2015, Volume 34, Issue 6, pp. 455 - 471
Journal Article
European Journal of Futures Research, ISSN 2195-4194, 12/2019, Volume 7, Issue 1, pp. 1 - 12
It seems that the least accurate (population) forecasts are those published in the period of great historical turning points both economic and political... 
History of Science | Transformation | Demography | Sustainable Development | History | Political Science | Czech Republic | Accuracy | Slovak Republic | Innovation/Technology Management | Simulation | Turning point | European Integration | Economic analysis | Demographics | Transformations | Computer simulation
Journal Article