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International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, ISSN 0888-613X, 02/2019, Volume 105, pp. 342 - 355
In order to explore making incoherent probabilistic knowledge more applicable, we considered the approach of using mathematically precise probability to... 
Projection | Kullback–Leibler divergence | Euclidean approximation | Subjective probability | Kullback-Leibler divergence | BELIEF | COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Journal Article
Econometrica, ISSN 0012-9682, 3/2009, Volume 77, Issue 2, pp. 603 - 606
Journal Article
Journal Article
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, ISSN 0894-3257, 04/2017, Volume 30, Issue 2, pp. 181 - 196
We propose and test a novel approach for eliciting subjective joint probabilities. In the proposed approach, judges compare pairs of possible outcomes and... 
support theory | subjective probabilities | ratio scaling | elicitation of probabilities | decision making under uncertainty | DECISION | PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED | PARTITION DEPENDENCE | IGNORANCE | PREDICTION | JUDGMENT | UNPACKING | UNCERTAINTY | EIGENVALUE METHOD | FALLACIES | EXPLAINS | Decision-making | Financial markets | College teachers | Analysis | Decision making | Subjectivity
Journal Article
Journal of the American Statistical Association, ISSN 0162-1459, 06/2005, Volume 100, Issue 470, pp. 680 - 701
Journal Article
Noûs, ISSN 0029-4624, 03/2018, Volume 52, Issue 1, pp. 69 - 87
Many have argued that a rational agent's attitude towards a proposition may be better represented by a probability range than by a single number. I show that... 
DECISION-THEORY | PHILOSOPHY | SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES
Journal Article
International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, ISSN 0888-613X, 11/2012, Volume 53, Issue 8, pp. 1262 - 1270
Effective translations between numerical and verbal representations of uncertainty are a concern shared by researchers in cognitive science and psychology,... 
Climate change | Imprecise probability | Risk communication | Probability expression | Probability elicitation | Subjective probability | REGRESSION | MODELS | DIRECTIONALITY | COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE | Global temperature changes
Journal Article
Journal of Mathematical Economics, ISSN 0304-4068, 03/2017, Volume 69, pp. 91 - 103
Journal Article
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, ISSN 0167-2681, 05/2014, Volume 101, pp. 128 - 140
•We test a binary lottery procedure for inducing risk neutrality in a subjective belief elicitation task.•Prior research shows that the binary lottery... 
Subjective probability elicitation | Experimental economics | Binary lottery procedure | Risk neutrality | PREFERENCES | INFORMATION | BAYES | RISK | ECONOMICS | Studies | Performance evaluation | Probability | Lotteries | Expected utility | Decision analysis | Risk management
Journal Article
European Economic Review, ISSN 0014-2921, 09/2017, Volume 98, pp. 73 - 85
Journal Article
Cognitive Science, ISSN 0364-0213, 08/2015, Volume 39, Issue 6, pp. 1216 - 1258
We describe a dual‐process theory of how individuals estimate the probabilities of unique events, such as Hillary Clinton becoming U.S. President. It... 
Bayesianism | Mental models | Subjective probabilities | Frequentism | EVANS | QUANTUM PROBABILITY | WORDS | REPRESENTATION | COGNITION | FALLACY | PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL | PSYCHOLOGY | JUDGMENT | 2 SYSTEMS | CONDITIONALS | Models, Theoretical | Probability | Uncertainty | Humans | Bayes Theorem | Judgment - physiology
Journal Article